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HomeMy WebLinkAbout16 Purchase Power 2016 Budget vs Actual WORKSHOP ITEM #162016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals March 1, 2017 2016 Risk analysis and 2016 forecast•Proposed resources for 2016•Future renewable resources•Diversified power supply plan•Conservation as first resource•Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) target (State Requirement)•Mission statement and objectives•FY 16 & 17 Budget included “Purchase Power Plan”•Purchase Power Plan was approved on November 18, 2015•BACKGROUND / HISTORY Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals MWh2016 Plan was based on a forecast of 163,778 •FY16 Purchase Power Plan included•BACKGROUND / HISTORY 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals NEW INFORMATION 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals costs and energy consumption by our customersThe two major factors that affect purchase power costs are resource •Energy consumption: 1.6% less than forecast•Energy cost: 3.5 % less than budgeted•Summary Budget vs Actual FY16• NEW INFORMATION 12,128,05$11,697,981$TransmissionMisc Costs:FY16 Power Purchase Cost ActualBudget$13,000,000$12,000,000$11,000,000$10,000,000$9,000,000$8,000,000$7,000,000$6,000,000$5,000,000 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals Budgeted vs Actual purchase power cost for 2016• NEW INFORMATION hWM MWhEnergy Consumption2016 Monthly ActualBudgetedDECNOVOCTSEPTAUGJULYJUNEMAYAPRMARFEBJAN20,00018,00016,00014,00012,00010,0008,0006,0004,0002,0000 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals Budgeted vs Actual monthly MWh consumption for 2016• NEW INFORMATION 2008 Peak MW2009 Peak MW2010 Peak MW2011 Peak MW2012 Peak MW2013 Peak MW2014 Peak MW2015 Peak MW2016 Peak MW 2008 thru 2016Monthly Peak MW DECNOVOCTSEPTAUGJULYJUNEMAYAPRMARFEBJAN 40.035.030.025.020.015.010.05.00.0 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals Monthly Peak MW for 2008 through 2016• NEW INFORMATION Sales MWhBudget MWhActual MWh Actual vs Budget vs Sales MWhTotal Bulk Power MWh /Year 170,000165,000160,000155,000150,000145,000140,000135,000130,000125,000120,000 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals MWhAnnual history of Actual vs Budget vs Sales • NEW INFORMATION WindLandfill GasSmall HydroHeat RecoveryUnspecified PoolNatural Gas 2016 RESOURCE MIX 54%Carbon Free Resources 28%, Wind15%, Landfill Gas6%, Small Hydro5%, Heat Recovery38%, Unspecified Pool8%, Natural Gas 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals Actual Purchase Power Resources used for 2016• NEW INFORMATION Five-year Market 2012-17 (Exist)Five-year Market 2017-22 (New)Trans Jordan - Land Fill GasStampede - Small HydroFallon Exchange for StampedePleasant Valley - WindNebo Power Plant - Natural GasHorse Butte Wind - WindVeyo Heat Recovery 2017Open Position-UAMPS Pool / Mkt 180,000160,000140,000120,000100,00080,00060,00040,00020,0000 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals-& 2017•Heat Recovery 2017 VeyoWith •2025–) by Year 2014 MWhResources (• NEW INFORMATION 57.4%82,575Totals5.0%7,259Heat Recovery (w/ REC’s)32.8%47,207Wind18.1%26,088Gas*Landfill 1.5%2021Hydro*Small % SalesREC'sMWh(CPUC)Eligible Renewables 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals own useCEC definition of “Retail Sales” does not include water pumping or •quarter 2017 nd REC amounts will be finalized during 2•2016 Estimated RPS*•2017 thru 2020; 33% of retail sales•2014 thru 2016; 25% of retail sales•2011 thru 2013; 20% of retail sales•Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) compliance periods and targets:• NEW INFORMATION------------$1,172,306 $965,402 $836,233 $862,563 HB WindRevenue used for ---------------98,09077,58371,80670,866 Allowances Sold---------------$1,172,306 $965,402 $836,233 $862,563 Allowance Revenue 0119,775119,295119,049119,452118,090117,582116,807115,865 POUDistrictPublic Utility Truckee Donner 202120202019201820172016201520142013 Type Utility Utility NameAnnual Allocation of Electrical Distribution Utilities (Allowances)2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals CARB Cap and Trade Summary• FISCAL IMPACT 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals RECOMMENDATION 2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals2016 Purchase Power Budget vs Actuals Receive and comment on this report•