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Home My WebLink About11,Renewable Energy Market Workshop Item # 11 16, 2011February MarketReview of Renewable Energy Review of Renewable Energy 2 Future Opportunity (Salt Lake Landfill Gas, City of Murray)–PortfolioDistrict Renewable •HISTORY Market Review of Renewable Energy 5-Year PurchaseStampede - Sm HydroLandfill GasPV WindHorse Butte, WindNatural Gas, NeboPool Purchases Projected 40%8%13%0%24%12%3%Energy Resource Mix Coal5-Year PurchaseStampede - Sm HydroLandfill GasPleasant Valley WindHorse Butte, WindNatural Gas, NeboPool PurchasesProjectedHistorical160,000120,00080,00040,0000Coal Sm Hydro WindNatural GasPurchases BreakdownResource Type Energy Historical 64%8%0%12%16%3 District Renewable Portfolio Market Review of Renewable Energy NEW INFORMATION 4% Renewables within the District portfolio•Renewable energy prices; and •Market energy prices;•Senate Bill, SBX12 , increasing RPS to 33% by 2020;•Length of the Salt Lake landfill gas generation;•When Evaluating this Opportunity the District should Consider:MWhSeasonal, ranging from $63.80 to $72.66/Price:Amount: 70% of output (Approx. 2 MW total capacity)2016-2011Term:Resource: Salt Lake Land Fill Gas Generation including REC'sTruckee Donner PUD (Truckee)Buyer:Murray CitySeller:Salt Lake landfill gas generation City of Murray.Terms:Future Opportunity Market Review of Renewable Energy 5$61Wind Class 5 Resource$91Wind Class 5 Resource$236Solar Thermal, Parabolic Trough$406Solar PV, Fixed Tilt, Crystalline$324Solar PV, $111Geothermal Flash$114Geothermal Binary$86Waste Water Anaerobic Digester$73Land Fill Gas$127Biomass Fluidized Bed Boiler$155Dairy Anaerobic DigesterPPA Cost $/MWhDescription of Technology Commercially Available–Renewable Technology Market Review of Renewable Energy 6 Diary Anaerobic Digester–Renewable Technology Market Review of Renewable Energy 7 Diary Anaerobic Digester Market Review of Renewable Energy 8 Biomass Fluidized Bed Boiler–Renewable Technology Market Review of Renewable Energy Risks and Issues: Fuel Supply, PermittingmwhNCPA Costs: $127/mwhDeveloper Costs: $112/mwhVariable O&M $11.8/mmbtuFuel: $2.5/Installed Costs: $3925/kwPlant Capacity Factor: 85%Typical Size: 25MW9 Fluidized Bed Boiler–Biomass Market Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 10 Land Fill Gas– Land Fill Gas impacts, Generally small in size market -Risks and Issues: Fuel Supply, Reliability$73/mwhNCPA Costs: $66/mwhDeveloper Costs: $16.30/mwhVariable O&M $1.50/mmbtuFuel: $2420/kwInstalled Costs: 85%Plant Capacity Factor: 2 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 11 Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 12 Geothermal Binary– Geothermal Binary Development Rights Risks and Issues: Fuel Supply, Transmission, $114/mwhNCPA Costs: $90/mwhDeveloper Costs: $38.40/mwhVariable O&M $0/mmbtuFuel: $4852/kwInstalled Costs: 95%Plant Capacity Factor: 50 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 13 Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 14 Geothermal Flash– Geothermal Flash Risks and Issues: Fuel Supply, Transmission, mwh$111/mwh$88/Developer Costs: mwh$38.40/Variable O&M mmbtu$0/Fuel: $4553/kwInstalled Costs: 93%Plant Capacity Factor: 50 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 15 Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 16 TrackingSolar PV, Single Axis – Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 17 TrackingSolar PV, Dual Axis – Solar PV Requirements, Costs Risks and Issues: Transmission, Security, Lane mwh$324/NCPA Costs: mwh$195/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0/Fuel: $6564/kwInstalled Costs: 23%Plant Capacity Factor: 20 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 18 Single Axis Tracking, Crystalline- Solar PV MarketReview of Renewable Energy 19 Fixed Tilt– Solar Fixed Tilt Crystalline Requirements, Costs Risks and Issues: Transmission, Security, Lane mwh$406/NCPA Costs: mwh$288/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0/Fuel: $7089/kwInstalled Costs: 19%Plant Capacity Factor: .25 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 20 Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 21 Parabolic TroughSolar Thermal, – Solar Thermal Risks and Issues: Transmission, Permitting, Costs mwh$236/NCPA Costs: mwh$152/mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0/Fuel: $5710/kw28%Plant Capacity Factor: 65 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 22– Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 23 Wind Class 5 Resource– Wind mwh~$40/Costs Site Location, Firming and Shaping Reliability,Risks and Issues: Transmission, Permitting,mwh$91/NCPA Costs: mwh$61/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0/Fuel: Installed Costs: 34%Plant Capacity Factor: 50 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 24– Review of Renewable Energy $174Solar Central Power Tower$109Solar Thermal, CFLR$346Solar Thermal, Sterling Dish$236Solar PV, Concentrating$153Solar PV, Thin Film$102 Biomass IGCCMWhPPA Cost $/Description of Technology 25 Emerging–Renewable Technology Market Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 26 Biomass IGCC– Biomass Risks and Issues: Emerging Technologymwh$102/NCPA Costs: mwh$94/Developer Costs: mwh$12.3/Variable O&M mmbtu$2.5/Fuel: $3476/kwInstalled Costs: 85%Plant Capacity Factor: 20 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 27(integrated gasification combined cycle)IGCC– Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 28 Solar PV, Thin Film– Solar more land than PVRisks and Issues: Emerging Technology, Requiresmwh$153/NCPA Costs: mwh$117/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $3337/kwInstalled Costs: 20%Plant Capacity Factor: 20 MWTypical Size: Review of Renewable Energy 29 Thin Film Fixed Tilt– Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 30 Solar PV Concentrating– Renewable Technology Risks and Issues: Emerging Technologymwh$236/NCPA Costs: mwh$168/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $5205/kwInstalled Costs: 23%Plant Capacity Factor: 15 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 31 Solar PV Concentrating– Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 32 DishSolar Thermal, Sterling – Solar Risks and Issues: Emerging Technology, Costsmwh$346/NCPA Costs: mwh$271/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $6562/kwInstalled Costs: 23%Plant Capacity Factor: 15 MWTypical Size: Review of Renewable Energy 33 Thermal, Sterling Dish– Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 34 Solar Thermal, CLFR– Solar Risks and Issues: Emerging Technologymwh$109/NCPA Costs: mwh$84/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $2457/kwInstalled Costs: 28%Plant Capacity Factor: 65 MWTypical Size: Review of Renewable Energy 35)(Concentrating Linear Fresnel Reflector CLFRThermal, – Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 36 TowerSolar Central Power – Solar Risks and Issues: Emerging Technologymwh$174/NCPA Costs: mwh$130/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $4669/kwInstalled Costs: 28%Plant Capacity Factor: 65 MWTypical Size: Review of Renewable Energy 37 Thermal, Central Power Tower– 38 COST SUMMARY Monitor technology, Emerging Well above MRPMonitor further developmentMonitor further developmentMwhfirming and shaping @$40/Out of state resource, Well above MRPWell above MRPWell above MRPInvestigate possibilities at the Hydro #1 siteInvestigate possibilities at the Hydro #1 siteConsider for development by NCPAConsider for development by NCPALodi sitesuitability at the Investigatewell suited for PPASmall size,Fuel supply risks, Recommend PPASmall size, well suited for PPA LEC$117/MWh MRPEmerging TechnologiesAvailable TechnologyCommerciallyNC PAMerchant (PPA)Levelized Cost of Energy ($/MWh in 2009$)Solar Thermal - Central Power TowerSolar Thermal - CLFRSolar Thermal - Stirling DishSolar PV - Concentrating Dual Axis TrackingSolar PV - Thin Film Fixed TiltBiomass - IGCCWind - Wind Turbine (Class 5 Resource)Solar Thermal - Parabolic TroughSolar PV - Fixed Tilt CrystallineSolar PV - Single Axis Tracking CrystallineSmall Hydro - ImpoundmentSmall Hydro - In ConduitGeothermal - Dual FlashGeothermal - BinaryBiomass - Waste Water Anaerobic DigesterBiomass - Landfill GasBiomass - Fluidized Bed BoilerBiomass - Dairy Anaerobic Digester$450$400$350$300$250$200$150$100$50$0$207 $126 $402 $278 $187 $107 $93 $242 $415 $332 $97 $51 $108 $114 $88 $75 $129 $159 $131 $85 $275 $169 $118 $92 $62 $153 $239 $196 $97 $51 $84 $87 $75 $65 $110 $135 MarketReview of Renewable Energy Recommendation MarketReview of Renewable Energy 39 through UAMPS Continue to monitor renewable resources 2.Receive input from Board1.