HomeMy WebLinkAbout10,Renewable Energy Market
Workshop Item # 10 March 2, 2011 MarketReview of Renewable Energy
Review of Renewable Energy Coal Sm Hydro Wind (Rounds to zero)Natural GasPurchases/ Pool BreakdownEnergyResource Type Historical 64%8%0%12%16%rY/hWM Energy Resource Mix Coal5-Year PurchaseStampede
- Sm HydroLandfill GasPleasant Valley WindHorse Butte, WindNatural Gas, NeboPool Purchases ProjectedHistorical160,000120,00080,00040,00005-Year PurchaseStampede - Sm HydroLandfill GasPV
WindHorse Butte, WindNatural Gas, NeboPool Purchases Projected 40%8%13%0%24%12%3%2 District Renewable Portfolio Market
Review of Renewable Energy NEW INFORMATION 3% Renewables within the District portfolio•Renewable energy prices; and •Market energy prices;•Senate Bill, SBX12 , increasing RPS to 33%
by 2020;•Length of the Salt Lake landfill gas generation;•When Evaluating this Opportunity the District should Consider:MWhSeasonal, ranging from $63.80 to $72.66/Price:Amount: 70%
of output (Approx. 2 MW total capacity)2016-2011Term:Resource: Salt Lake Land Fill Gas Generation including REC'sTruckee Donner PUD (Truckee)Buyer:Murray CitySeller:Salt Lake landfill
gas generation City of Murray.Terms:Future Opportunity Market
Review of Renewable Energy 4$61(Ownership)Wind Class 5 Resource)PPA$91(Wind Class 5 Resource$236Solar Thermal, Parabolic Trough$406Solar PV, Fixed Tilt, Crystalline$324Solar PV, $111Geothermal
Flash$114Geothermal Binary$86Waste Water Anaerobic Digester$73Land Fill Gas$127Biomass Fluidized Bed Boiler$155Dairy Anaerobic DigesterCost $/MWh (2009$)Description of Technology Commercially
Available–Renewable Technology Market
Review of Renewable Energy 5 Diary Anaerobic Digester–Renewable Technology Market
Review of Renewable Energy 6 Diary Anaerobic Digester Market
Review of Renewable Energy PlantLoyalton Similar to 7 Biomass Fluidized Bed Boiler–Renewable Technology Market
Review of Renewable Energy Risks and Issues: Fuel Supply, PermittingmwhNCPA Costs: $127/mwhDeveloper Costs:
$112/mwh: $11.8/O&MVariable mmbtuFuel: $2.5/Installed Costs:
$3925/kwPlant Capacity Factor: 85%Typical Size: 25MW8 Fluidized Bed Boiler–Biomass
Market
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 9 Land Fill Gas–
Land Fill Gas impacts, Generally small in size market -Risks and Issues: Fuel Supply, Reliabilitymwh$73/NCPA Costs: mwh$66/Developer Costs: mwh$16.30/: O&MVariable mmbtu$1.50/Fuel:
$2420/kwInstalled Costs: 85%Plant Capacity Factor: 2 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 10
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 11 Geothermal Binary–
Geothermal BinaryDevelopment Rights, Geographically FixedRisks and Issues: Fuel Supply, Transmission, mwh$114/NCPA Costs: mwh$90/Developer Costs: mwh$38.40/: O&MVariable
mmbtu$0/Fuel: $4852/kwInstalled Costs: 95%Plant Capacity Factor: 50 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 12
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 13 Geothermal Flash–
Geothermal Flash Development Rights, Geographically Fixed Risks and Issues: Fuel Supply, Transmission, mwh$111/mwh$88/Developer Costs: mwh$38.40/: O&MVariable mmbtu$0/Fuel: $4553/kwInstalled
Costs: 93%Plant Capacity Factor: 50 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 14
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 15 TrackingSolar PV, Single Axis –
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 16 TrackingSolar PV, Dual Axis –
Solar PV Requirements, Costs Risks and Issues: Transmission, Security, Lane mwh$324/NCPA Costs: mwh$195/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/: O&MVariable mmbtu$0/Fuel: $6564/kwInstalled
Costs: 23%Plant Capacity Factor: 20 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 17 Single Axis Tracking, Crystalline-
Solar PV MarketReview of Renewable Energy 18 Fixed Tilt–
Solar Fixed Tilt Crystalline Requirements, Costs Risks and Issues: Transmission, Security, Lane mwh$406/NCPA Costs: mwh$288/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/: O&MVariable
mmbtu$0/Fuel: $7089/kwInstalled Costs: 19%Plant Capacity Factor: .25 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 19
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 20 Parabolic TroughSolar Thermal, –
Solar Thermal Risks and Issues: Transmission, Permitting, Costs mwh$236/NCPA Costs: mwh$152/mwh$0.0/: O&MVariable mmbtu$0/Fuel: $5710/kw28%Plant Capacity Factor:
65 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 21–
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 22 Wind Class 5 Resource–
Wind mwh~$40/Costs Reliability, Site Location, Firming and Shaping Risks and Issues: Transmission, Permitting, mwh$91/NCPA Costs: mwh$61/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/: O&MVariable
mmbtu$0/Fuel: Installed Costs: 34%Plant Capacity Factor: 50 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 23–
Review of Renewable Energy $174Solar Central Power Tower$109Solar Thermal, CFLR$346Solar Thermal, Sterling Dish$236Solar PV, Concentrating$153Solar PV, Thin Film$102 Biomass IGCCPPA
Cost $/MWhDescription of Technology 24 Emerging–Renewable Technology Market
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 25 Biomass IGCC–
Biomass Risks and Issues: Emerging Technologymwh$102/NCPA Costs: mwh$94/Developer Costs: mwh$12.3/: O&MVariable mmbtu$2.5/Fuel: $3476/kwInstalled Costs: 85%Plant Capacity
Factor: 20 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 26(integrated gasification combined cycle)IGCC–
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 27 Solar PV, Thin Film–
Solar more land than PVRisks and Issues: Emerging Technology, Requires mwh$153/NCPA Costs: mwh$117/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $3337/kwInstalled
Costs: 20%Plant Capacity Factor: 20 MWTypical Size: Review of Renewable Energy 28 Thin Film Fixed Tilt–
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 29 Solar PV Concentrating–
Renewable Technology Risks and Issues: Emerging Technologymwh$236/NCPA Costs: mwh$168/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $5205/kwInstalled Costs: 23%Plant
Capacity Factor: 15 MWTypical Size: MarketReview of Renewable Energy 30 Solar PV Concentrating–
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 31 DishSolar Thermal, Sterling –
Solar Risks and Issues: Emerging Technology, Costsmwh$346/NCPA Costs: mwh$271/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $6562/kwInstalled Costs: 23%Plant Capacity
Factor: 15 MWTypical Size: Review of Renewable Energy 32 Thermal, Sterling Dish–
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 33 Solar Thermal, CLFR–
Solar Risks and Issues: Emerging Technologymwh$109/NCPA Costs: mwh$84/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $2457/kwInstalled Costs: 28%Plant Capacity Factor:
65 MWTypical Size: Review of Renewable Energy 34)(Concentrating Linear Fresnel Reflector Thermal, CLFR–
Renewable Technology MarketReview of Renewable Energy 35 TowerSolar Central Power –
Solar Risks and Issues: Emerging Technologymwh$174/NCPA Costs: mwh$130/Developer Costs: mwh$0.0/Variable O&M mmbtu$0.0/Fuel: $4669/kwInstalled Costs: 28%Plant Capacity
Factor: 65 MWTypical Size: Review of Renewable Energy 36 Thermal, Central Power Tower–
37 COST SUMMARY Monitor technology, Emerging Well above MRPMonitor further developmentMonitor further developmentMwhfirming and shaping @$40/Out of state resource, Well above MRPWell
above MRPWell above MRPInvestigate possibilities at the Hydro #1 siteInvestigate possibilities at the Hydro #1 siteConsider for development by NCPAConsider for development by NCPALodi
sitesuitability at the Investigatewell suited for PPASmall size,Fuel supply risks, Recommend PPASmall size, well suited for PPA LEC$117/MWh MRPEmerging TechnologiesAvailable TechnologyCommerciallyNC
PAMerchant (PPA)Levelized Cost of Energy ($/MWh in 2009$)Solar Thermal - Central Power TowerSolar Thermal - CLFRSolar Thermal - Stirling DishSolar PV - Concentrating Dual Axis TrackingSolar
PV - Thin Film Fixed TiltBiomass - IGCCWind - Wind Turbine (Class 5 Resource)Solar Thermal - Parabolic TroughSolar PV - Fixed Tilt CrystallineSolar PV - Single Axis Tracking CrystallineSmall
Hydro - ImpoundmentSmall Hydro - In ConduitGeothermal - Dual FlashGeothermal - BinaryBiomass - Waste Water Anaerobic DigesterBiomass - Landfill GasBiomass - Fluidized Bed BoilerBiomass
- Dairy Anaerobic Digester$450$400$350$300$250$200$150$100$50$0$207 $126 $402 $278 $187 $107 $93 $242 $415 $332 $97 $51 $108 $114 $88 $75 $129 $159 $131 $85 $275 $169 $118 $92 $62 $153
$239 $196 $97 $51 $84 $87 $75 $65 $110 $135 MarketReview of Renewable Energy
Recommendation MarketReview of Renewable Energy 38 through UAMPS Continue to monitor renewable resources •Receive input from Board•