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HomeMy WebLinkAbout17 2023 Mid Year Financial Update AGENDA ITEM #17 Public Utility District m MEETING DATE: August 2, 2023 TO: Board of Directors FROM: Michael Salmon, Chief Financial Officer SUBJECT: 2023 Mid-Year Financial Update APPROVED BY: Brian C. Wright, General Manager RECOMMENDATION: Accept and file the 2023 mid-year financial update. BACKGROUND: District Code requires a semi-annual review of the budgeted revenues and expenditures as compared to the year-to-date actual revenues and expenditures. The budget to actual reports included herein are consolidated reports of actual activity for revenues, operating expenses, capital expenditures, debt service, and transfers. The report is a non-GAAP sources and uses style report and excludes depreciation, amortization and contributed capital activities. ANALYSIS AND BODY: General Comments: On May 11, 2023, the US CDC ended the federal COVID-19 Public Health Emergency declaration. With the pandemic essentially declared over by Federal and State authorities, the District customer account arrearages remain slightly elevated as compared to historical averages. As of June 30, 2023, 2.3% of customers were 30 days past due, 0.4% 60 days past due, and 0.3% (or 93 accounts) were past due 90+ days. Below is trend information for customer account balance amounts for 90+ days past due for electric and water utilities combined. Page 1 of 7 Page 39 of 165 5300,000 $259,938 5250,000 $213,065 $200,000 5150,000 $111,025 5100,000 $91,243 561,905 $50,000 $43,612 $36,887 $12,240 $13,658 6/30/2019 12/31/2019 6/30/2020 12/31/2020 6/30/2021 12/31/2021 6/30/2022 12/31/2022 6/30/2023 The above balances are post-application of$195,000 in federal financial aid (ARPA) and $162,000 provided in pandemic relief by the District to 562 customer accounts. Current inflation rates have recently softened from forty+ year highs one year ago. US inflation figures over the last five years through June 2023 (3.1%) are as follows: ...........................................................................................................o............. s.oa ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 6.00 ................................................................................................'...................... ...... 4.00 ................ ................................ 0.00 2020 2022 -RADINGECONSMUCS.COM I U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR SfATISfICz Year to date, the District has managed to operate generally within budget (other than certain capital projects bids, fuel costs, and purchased power) and obtain the majority of supplies and materials within reasonable timelines. The District has experienced notably extended lead-times in procurement of certain transformers, poles and meter materials. The District continues to proactively address core supply and material inventories to mitigate potential future issues in obtaining these core operational items. Electric Utility (Attachment 1): Billed accounts in June 2023 were 14,665 and Year to Date (YTD) the number of billing accounts is up 0.6% from last year. YTD billed KWH of 95.1 M is up 8.4% on a per day billed basis and KWH billed per customer per billing day is up 7.8% YTD compared to last year. This increase is primarily attributed to a colder winter and spring this year as Page 2 of 7 Page 40 of 165 compared to last, as all months' YTD were up compared to the prior year, except for June. The growth in electric vehicle charging is also a component of the increased demand from prior year. For residential accounts, the average KWH per month was up 8.1% compared to last year, attributed primarily to weather and increased second home usage. Residential accounts have a meter type mix of 40% Primary and 60% Secondary. Further details are presented below: KWH Usage Average per Residential Account Change Change Jan -Jun 2023 2022 2021 2023 to '22 2023 to '21 Primary 880 839 885 41 4.9% (4) -0.5% Secondary 587 527 550 60 11.3% 38 6.9% Combined 704 651 680 53 8.1% 23 3.4% For commercial accounts, KWH usage was up 7.8% YTD compared to last. The top 20 customers (most multiple accounts/meters) represent 60% of commercial KWH billings with an increase of 7.4% in KWH usage and a 1% increase in KW demand. Operating Revenues YTD 6/30/2023 of$18.91 M are 56% of the annual budget, which equates to a favorable $1.95M. Compared to budget, residential sales are up 7% to budget and commercial sales are up 7% to budget. Miscellaneous revenues are generally on budget. The annual forecast operating revenue of$35.36M is favorable to budget $1.44M or 4%. Operating Expenses YTD 6/30/2023 of $7.42M are 54% of the annual budget, which equates to an unfavorable $0.51 M. Electric operations is at 59% of the annual budget, which equates to an overage of$0.64M and is driven primarily by timing between months of labor charged to operations versus capital, actual versus straight line budget spread (nominal actual charged capital projects YTD, will occur in summer/fall months, whereas budget is spread evenly over twelve months). YTD Electric operations payroll direct (capital and operating combined) is $43,000 or 2.6% under budget driven by $190,000 in net position vacancies offset by $147,000 over budget in overtime caused by storms/outages. Electric operations vendor expenses YTD are 5% under budget. The electric operations annual forecast of$7.32M is 103% or $214,000 over budget, driven by fewer hours charged to capital projects (with vacancies offsetting overtime). Administrative Services and IT cost centers are running 3% over budget YTD, attributed to timing between months, and both are forecasted to be on budget for the year. Cost center Building Maintenance is running 8% or $61,000 over budget YTD, driven primarily by snow removal and natural gas utility costs. The Building Maintenance annual forecast is 10% or $74,000 over budget due to snow removal and natural gas utility costs. All other departments are running at or below budget for the year and annual forecast. The annual forecast for Operating Expenses is $13.99M, over budget by $169,000 or 1.2% to budget. Page 3 of 7 Page 41 of 165 Purchased power cost YTD 6/30/2023 of$7.95M is 57% of the annual budget and equates to an unfavorable $0.96M. This YTD cost overage is driven by increased customer demand (big winter) for +$1.07M (8%), higher average wholesale purchased power costs for +$0.37M (4%), offset by CVPIA litigation settlement received of - $0.48M. The cost per MW from primary power supplier UAMPS was $119 in January and has averaged $62 for February through May. The Dec'22 ($122/MW) and Jan'23 cost spikes were experienced throughout the western US and are attributed primarily to a natural gas supply issue. The annual forecast for purchased power of $15.22M is unfavorable $1.24M or 9% to budget in purchased power driven by increased demand, particularly the 1 st half of the year and January's cost deviation. The CVPIA funds received will be reviewed by the board for transfer to rate reserve in fall 2023. Capital Expenditures YTD 6/30/2023 of $1.05M are 17% of the annual budget, under- running due primarily to timing of projects for the year and between years. The annual forecast is $6.48M, under budget $0.14M / 2% in expenditures for the year The 2023 projects are numerous, with the largest single dollar project being pole replacements for $527,000. Electric's debt issuance proceeds of $6.5M have not been expended and are currently forecasted to be expended in FY24 and FY25. Electric, other cash flow items: Investment income is significantly over budget YTD and forecasted to be favorable to budget $83,000 for the year. Interest rates have increased since the conservative budget was established in fall 2021. For example, LAIF yield: August 2021 0.22% May 2023 2.99%. Debt service for Electric of$216,000 YTD and the $431,000 annual forecast are on budget. A non-budgeted transfer in flow of $2.36M (from the Rate Reserve Fund) was approved in April 2023. This transfer offsets the exceptional cost per MW overages for wholesale purchased power in 2022 and January of 2023. The replenishment of the Rate Reserve Fund for this draw will be reviewed this fall as part of the FY24 FY25 budget cycle and cost of service analysis (rate study). Refer to Attachment 3 for an electric utility reserves overview. Other transfers In/Out has a budget of Net In Flow of$0.97M and is forecasted to be $0.67M, with the lower net amount due to less capital expenditures driving less use of capital reserve funds than budgeted. Electric Utility's Net Budget Activity YTD 6/30/2023 is a positive $4.51 M. The annual forecast for 2023 is a positive $2.35M and compares favorably by $2.30M to the Budget 2023 of $0.05M. Excluding the Rate Reserve transfer in of $2.36M, the variance is negative $0.06M. The Forecast for the year is a net favorable $2.30M to budget and can be summarized as follows: Page 4 of 7 Page 42 of 165 • ($0.17M) capital expenditures net of capital reserves utilization, over budget (timing between years) • $1.45M revenues favorable to budget 4% • ($0.17M) expenses unfavorable to budget 1% • ($1.24M) purchased power unfavorable to budget 9% ($1.72M or 12% excluding CVPIA legal settlement credit) • $0.06M investment income over budget due to higher interest rates • $0.01 M debt service under budget $10k • $0.06M subtotal • $2.36M rate reserve transfer in • $2.30M total Electric Utility's key reserve balances: The operating reserve balance as of 6/30/2023 was $7.95M and is $1 .04M or 15% over the policy goal of 50% of the annual operating budget. For year-end 2023, the balance is forecasted to be on budget at $6.92M. The rate reserve balance as of 6/30/2023 was $4.77M and is $2.22M or 30% under the policy goal of 50% of the annual purchased power budget. This deficiency in the reserve balance rate will be addressed in the FY24/25 budget cycle and accompanying cost of service analysis this fall. The capital reserve balance of 6/30/2023 was $11.42M and is $7.33M over the budgeted year-end balance, driven by prior year delays in certain planned capital projects. The restricted debt issuance project fund balance as of 6/30/2023 was $6.62M and is forecasted to be $6.74M at year-end. Water Utility (Attachment 2): Billed accounts in June 2023 are 13,606 and Year to Date (YTD) the number of billing accounts is up 0.8% to last year. YTD billed gallons of 327M are down 5% to prior year. Billed gallons per customer per day YTD June of 134 are down 6% to last year (residential down 6% and non-residential down 4%). This decrease is attributed to a wet winter and spring as compared to the prior year. Operating Revenues YTD 6/30/2023 of$8.40M are 47% of the annual budget, which equates to an unfavorable $488,000 on a straight-line budget spread basis. The YTD June historical average is 42% of annual revenues, producing a 5% favorable variance. Miscellaneous revenues are generally on budget. Annual forecast operating revenues of $17.90M are favorable $118,000 or 1% to budget Operating Expenses YTD 6/30/2023 of $5.66M are 49% of the annual budget, which equates to a favorable $125,000. Water operations at 48% of the annual budget is pacing under budget primarily due to timing between months, with the annual forecast to be on budget. Administrative Services and IT cost centers are running 2% and 8% respectively over budget YTD, attributed to timing between months, and both are forecasted to be on budget for the year. The interdepartmental rent is running on budget YTD. The rent annual forecast is 17% or $100,000 under budget due to less Page 5 of 7 Page 43 of 165 depreciation expense than budgeted, partially offset by water's share of the overage previously noted in electric's building maintenance costs. All other departments are running at or under budget pace and forecasted to be at or below budget for the year. The annual forecast for Operating Expenses is $11.43M, a favorable $151,000 or 1% to budget. Capital Expenditures YTD 6/30/2023 of $2.55M are 17% of the annual budget, under- running due primarily to timing of projects for the year and between years. The annual forecast is $17.36M, over the budget by $2.09M primarily due to timing of projects between years. The water utility's 2022 debt issuance project proceeds of $15.94M are forecasted to be fully expended by the end of 2023, as planned. Water facility fees project utilization forecast includes $0.95M for water 6170 tank #2 a portion (budget $1 M) and $0.65M for the West River Street bridge over Truckee River project (not budgeted, funds available). Water, Other cash flow items: Investment income is significantly over budget YTD and forecasted to be favorable to budget $210,000 for the year. Interest rates have increased since the budget was established in fall 2021. For example, LAIF yield: August 2021 0.22% May 2023 2.99%. Debt service for water budget and forecast is $1.99M. The transfer in from debt issuance project proceeds is forecasted at $11.82M for 2023, which is $2.9M greater than the budget. This variance is due to expenditure timing for applicable projects between FY22 and FY23. Other transfers In/Out has a budget net inflow of$2.33M and is forecasted to be $2.12M, attributed to less capital reserves transfer in necessary. Water Utility's Net Budget Activity YTD 6/30/2023 is a positive $1.05M, Forecast 2023 is a positive $1.27M, and Budget 2022 is a positive $.025M. The Forecast for the year is a net favorable $1.03M to budget and can be summarized as follows: • $0.56M capital expenditures net of capital reserves utilization, less than budget (timing between years) • $0.12M revenues favorable to budget 1% • $0.15M expenses favorable to budget 1% • $0.19M investment income over budget due to higher interest rates • $0.01 M debt service under budget $7k • $1.03M total Water Utility's key reserve balances: The operating reserve balance as of 6/30/2023 was $9.49M and is $3.70M or 63% over the policy goal of 50% of the annual operating budget. For year-end 2023, after capital expenditures in summer/fall and other budgeted uses, the balance is forecasted to be on budget at $6.79M or $1 M over policy target balance. The capital reserve balance of Page 6 of 7 Page 44 of 165 6/30/2023 was $1.05M and is budgeted and forecasted to be utilized during the remainder of 2023 for capital expenditures. As part of the budget cycle this fall, staff and the board will review and consider a transfer from operating reserve to capital reserve . The restricted debt issuance project fund balance as of 6/30/2023 was $10.24M and is forecasted to be zero at year-end. GOALS AND OBJECTIVES: District Code 1 .05.020 Objectives: 1. Responsibly serve the public. 6. Manage the District in an effective, efficient and fiscally responsible manner. District Code 1 .05.030 Goals: 1. Manage for Financial Stability and Resiliency FISCAL IMPACT: This financial review of actual to budget activity and year end projections for FY2023 serve as Board's review of the District's current financial performance in accordance with District Code. ATTACHMENTS: 1. Electric 2023 Mid-Year Budget Comparison and Annual Forecast 2. Water 2023 Mid-Year Budget Comparison and Annual Forecast 3. Electric Reserves Brief Page 7 of 7 Page 45 of 165 Truckee Donner Public Utility District Attachment 1 2023 Mid-Year Budget Comparison and Annual Forecast Electric Utility Electric Utility 2023 2023 - 12 Month Annual YTD 6/2023 % of Annual % of Budget Actual Budget Forecast Budget Revenue Residential $ 18,756,168 $ 10,641,026 57% $ 19,392,000 103% Commercial 12,689,444 7,213,883 57% 13,628,000 107% Interdept. Sales 1,489,959 595,892 40% 1,460,000 98% Standby 16,600 - 0% 17,000 102% Joint Pole and Pole Attachments 278,617 90,869 33% 279,000 100% Misc Revenue 116,364 85,978 74% 116,000 100% Interdeptmental Rent 572,076 286,038 50% 472,000 83% Total $ 33,919,228 $ 18,913,685 56% $ 35,364,000 104% $ 1,444,772 var to B Operating Expenses Board of Directors $ 386,344 $ 87,998 23% $ 348,000 90% General Management 1,533,653 733,866 48% 1,518,000 99% Administrative Svcs. 1,476,195 779,400 53% 1,476,000 100% Conservation 915,162 299,937 33% 851,000 93% Operations 7,105,456 4,197,279 59% 7,319,000 103% IT/GIS 1,661,373 885,406 53% 1,661,000 100% Building Maintenance 744,787 433,706 58% 819,000 110% Total $ 13,822,970 $ 7,417,591 54% $ 13,992,000 101% $ (169,030) var to B Purchase Power Expense $ 13,982,000 $ 7,950,400 57% $ 15,221,000 109% $ (1,239,000) var to B Operating Revenue less Expenses $ 6,114,258 $ 3,545,694 58% $ 6,151,000 101% $ 36,742 var to B Capital Expenditures Rates $ 5,854,773 $ 1,013,622 17% $ 5,366,000 92% 2022 COP Debt Project Proceeds - - 0% - 0% Capital Reserve - 3,671 0% 104,000 0% Vehicle Reserve 763,164 35,716 5% 1,008,000 203% Facility Fees - - 0% - 203% Total $ 6,617,937 $ 1,053,009 16% $ 6,478,000 98% $ 139,937 var to B Other Non-Operating Cash Flows Investment Income $ 27,000 $ 41,512 154% 83,000 307% Debt Service $ (441,491) $ (215,591) 49% (431,000) 98% Transfer In, Rate Reserve $ - $ 2,360,000 0% 2,360,000 NA Transfers In (Out), all other $ 967,164 $ (170,613) -18% 665,000 69% Net Budget Activity - Electric $ 48,994 $ 4,507,993 n/a $ 2,350,000 n/a $ 2,301,006 var to B 7/14/2023 4:46 PM I:\Budget Reports\2023\2023-06 Operating Report Electric 1st Half Page 46 of 165 Truckee Donner Public Utility District Attachment 2 2023 Mid-Year Budget Comparison and Annual Forecast Water Utility Water Utility 2023 2023 - 12 Month Annual YTD 6/2023 % of Annual % of Budget Actual Budget Forecast Budget Revenue Residential $ 15,382,349 $ 7,438,524 48% $ 15,477,000 101% Commercial 1,970,349 805,749 41% 1,994,000 101% Standby 102,647 - 0% 103,000 100% Misc Revenue 328,370 160,078 49% 328,000 100% Total $ 17,783,715 $ 8,404,350 47% $ 17,902,000 101% $ 118,285 var to B Operating Expenses Board of Directors $ 226,350 $ 71,780 32% $ 204,000 90% General Management 1,412,007 684,329 48% 1,398,000 99% Administrative Svcs. 1,450,006 752,425 52% 1,450,000 100% Conservation 98,645 9,684 10% 84,000 85% Operations 6,952,558 3,361,756 48% 6,953,000 100% IT/GIS 867,412 498,956 58% 867,000 100% Interdepartmental Rent 572,076 286,038 50% 472,000 83% Total $ 11,579,054 $ 5,664,969 49% $ 11,428,000 99% $ 151,054 var to B Operating Revenue less Expenses $ 6,204,661 $ 2,739,381 44% $ 6,474,000 104% $ 269,339 var to B Capital Expenditures Rates $ 5,152,893 $ 782,985 15% $ 3,632,174 70% 2022 COP Debt Project Proceeds 8,965,975 1,765,267 20% 11,822,000 132% Capital Reserve - - 0% - 0% Vehicle Reserve 157,720 - 0% 279,059 203% Facility Fees 1,000,000 1,183 0% 1,628,770 203% Total $ 15,276,588 $ 2,549,435 17% $ 17,362,003 114% $ (2,085,415) var to B Other Non-Operating Cash Flows Investment Income $ 22,000 $ 106,191 483% 210,000 955% Debt Service $ (1,993,917) $ (993,744) 50% (1,987,000) 100% Transfers In, Debt Project Funds $ 8,965,975 $ 1,765,267 11,822,000 132% Transfers In (Out), all other $ 2,327,229 $ (18,746) -1% 2,117,000 91% Net Budget Activity -Water $ 249,360 $ 1,048,916 n/a $ 1,273,997 n/a $ 1,024,637 var to B 7/14/2023 4 47 PM I'\Budget Reports\2023\2023-06 Operating Report Water 1st Half Page 47 of 165 Electric Utility - Budget and Key Reserves TRUCKEE DONNER Public 2023 Budget- Electric Utility- Outflow of Funds of$35.9 Million Chart $ in Thousands $441 $13,982 $13,823 A $1,045 ■Purchased Power (39%) ■Operating Expenses (39%) ■Capital Expenditures (18%) ■Reserve Deposits (3%) ■Debt Service (1%) The above big three (power, operating, capital)categories represent 95% of Electric's annual operating expenditures. The District has three reserve funds (cash)specific to the big three, which provide a financial contingency funds source in the event of a material variance to Budget. Rate Reserve Operating Reserve Capital Reserve $ 6,845,380 December 31, 2022 Balance $ 6,522,389 December 31, 2022 Balance $ 11,310,640 December 31, 2022 Balance $ 6,991,000 Target Balance DC $ 6,911,000 Target Balance DC $ 6,439,000 Target Balance DC 50% of Annual Purchased Power Budget 50% of Annual Operating Expense 100% of Annual Average Capital Expenditures (5yrs forward CIP average annual) When purchased power costs materially exceed Budget, If Operating Expense costs materially exceed Budget, The Captial Reserve serves as the savings account for the Rate Reserve can be utilized to mitigate this impact. the Operating Reserve decreases. The operating reserve capital expenditures. To the extent planned capital Otherwise,the Operating Reserve would take the charge. is the General Fund,there is no'transfer'necessary if this expenditures are delayed,the reserve balance builds up occurs. until the capital expenditure occurs. A transfer from the In 2023,the Budget included$210,000 funding to the Operating Reserve to Capital Reserve needs to be made Rate Reserve to reflect the budgeted amount of power All cash flow payments occur through the operating for this delay in capital spend to be in the appropriate costs increase from 2022 to 2023. account of the District. For example,the variances for reserve account. purchase power costs,typically not material in nature, In April 2023,the Board approved a$2.36M transfer impact the operating reserve balance. In order for a Delays is projects for various reasons the last three years out of Rate Reserve to Operating Reserve,due to the material varinace in purchase power to NOT impact the have caused a build-up in the Capital Reserve balance. material variance over budget in power costs in fall'22 operating reserve,a Rate Reserve transfer would be and Jan'23. required. One such transfer was approved in April 2023 in the amount of for$2.36M. Replenishment of the rate reserve utilization can be spread over a time frame greater than 12-months,thereby lowering Important to note, reserve balances are'cash funds',therefore a material the impact on rate payers monthly bills. expense variance in for example December(when cost/event occurs),will typically impact reserve cash balance in following month January,when invoice(s)are paid. This accrual versus cash difference is relatively consistent year to year, but not always. oc_per District Code,Title 3 For example the Dec'22 purchase power costs significantly over budget,while the paid'cash flow'was in January for this item. 7/25/2023 I:\Budget Reports\2023\Charts Budget Reserves Charts(2) Page 48 of 165